Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.