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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
19.42% ( 1.02) | 20.34% ( 0.5) | 60.24% ( -1.53) |
Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.47% ( -0.75) | 36.53% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.32% ( -0.82) | 58.68% ( 0.82) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( 0.59) | 32.14% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% ( 0.66) | 68.62% ( -0.67) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.18% ( -0.64) | 11.81% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.95% ( -1.38) | 37.05% ( 1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.42% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 7% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.74% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.13) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.44% Total : 60.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |