Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Nov 12, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

JenS Vesting

Emmen
3 - 3
Ajax

Veldmate (6'), Zivkovic (58'), Bouchouari (84')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Taylor (8', 21'), Bergwijn (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Emmen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Emmen

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 0-1 Emmen
Saturday, November 5 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Vitesse
Wednesday, November 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Emmen	Draw	Ajax
19.42% ( 1.02)	20.34% ( 0.5)	60.24% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 59.84% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.47% (

-0.75)

36.53% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.32% (

-0.82)

58.68% (

0.82)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85% (

0.59)

32.14% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

0.66)

68.62% (

-0.67)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.18% (

-0.64)

11.81% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.95% (

-1.38)

37.05% (

1.37)

Score Analysis

Emmen 19.42%

Ajax 60.24%

Draw 20.34%

Emmen	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.42%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.34%	1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 7% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.74% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.13) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.44% Total : 60.24%