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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitesse in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitesse.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
46.38% ( -5.83) | 25.24% ( 1.07) | 28.39% ( 4.77) |
Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.66% ( -0.82) | 49.34% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.61% ( -0.75) | 71.39% ( 0.75) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% ( -2.74) | 21.29% ( 2.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.77% ( -4.42) | 54.22% ( 4.42) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% ( 3.45) | 31.54% ( -3.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.07% ( 3.8) | 67.93% ( -3.79) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -1.18) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.65) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -1.03) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.44) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.58) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.89) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.89) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.55) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.47) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
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