Eredivisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 9, 2022 at 7pm UK

GelreDome, Arnhem

Vitesse
1 - 2
Sittard

Bialek (32')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ferati (40'), Vita (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 Vitesse
Saturday, October 1 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 2-0 Volendam
Sunday, October 2 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
63.91% ( 0.15)	21.67% ( -0.15)	14.42% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.84% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.85% (

0.55)

51.15% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27% (

0.48)

73% (

-0.48)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63% (

0.23)

15.37% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.85% (

0.44)

44.15% (

-0.44)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.98% (

0.33)

47.01% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.5% (

0.25)

82.49% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 63.91%

Fortuna Sittard 14.42%

Draw 21.66%

Vitesse	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 13.53% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 63.91%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.66%	0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.18% Total : 14.42%