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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%).
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
| 27.05% | 21.76% | 51.19% |
| Both teams to score 64.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.66% | 34.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.75% | 56.25% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% | 24.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% | 59.27% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% | 13.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.96% | 41.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 6.59% 1-0 @ 4.75% 2-0 @ 3.32% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 1.55% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.05% | 1-1 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 3.4% 3-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-1 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 6.18% 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.07% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 2.14% 1-5 @ 1.22% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.19% |