Champions League
Oct 26, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Mohamed Salah 42'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 49'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 52'

Ajax vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 12, 2022 5.45pm
Napoli 4 - 2 Ajax

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 12, 2022 8.00pm
Rangers 1 - 7 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.27%) and 1-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Ajax 42.79% (-0.04)
Draw 21.82%
Liverpool 35.39% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.66% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.88% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 30.11% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 48.67% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 51.33% (-0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 84.98% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 15.01% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 56.51% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 43.48% (+0.02)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 81.96% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 18.03% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 51.07% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 48.92% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Ajax 42.79%
Draw 21.82%
Liverpool 35.39%
Ajax
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.13% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 42.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 7.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.82%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 7.53% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 35.39%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 13, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Anfield
  • Mohamed Salah 17' goal
  • Joel Matip 89' goal
  • goal Mohammed Kudus 27'
Champions League
Dec 1, 2020 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
  • Curtis Jones 58' goal
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 70' yellowcard
  • Jordan Henderson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Perr Schuurs 42'
  • yellowcard Daley Blind 55'
Champions League
Oct 21, 2020 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Quincy Promes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Tagliafico 35' (OG)
  • yellowcard James Milner 38'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 80'

Build-up

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