Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.