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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Emmen |
38.27% ( 0.01) | 24.85% | 36.88% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% ( -0.02) | 44.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% ( -0.02) | 67.33% ( 0.02) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.71% ( -0.01) | 23.28% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.78% ( -0.01) | 57.22% ( -0) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( -0.02) | 24.02% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( -0.03) | 58.28% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Emmen |
2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.27% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 36.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |