Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 9, 2022 at 7pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
2 - 2
Vitesse

Tadic (6'), Lucca (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Manhoef (25', 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 1-2 PSV
Sunday, November 6 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 0-4 Sparta
Saturday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Vitesse
72.81% ( -1.6)	14.76% ( 0.92)	12.42% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 64.78% (

-1.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.83% (

-3)

23.16% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.52% (

-4.15)

42.48% (

4.14)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.41% (

-0.9)

5.58% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.31% (

-2.66)

21.69% (

2.65)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.61% (

-1.44)

31.38% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25% (

-1.7)

67.75% (

1.69)

Score Analysis

Ajax 72.81%

Vitesse 12.42%

Draw 14.76%

Ajax	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.72) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.76) 3-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.33) 5-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.4) 5-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.22) 5-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.32) 6-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.3) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.2) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.19) 6-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.22) Other @ 4.27% Total : 72.81%	1-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.35) Other @ 0.44% Total : 14.76%	1-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.62% Total : 12.42%