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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 50.69% ( | 23.96% ( | 25.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.97% ( | 46.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( | 68.33% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% ( | 18.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.8% ( | 49.2% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( | 32.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% ( | 68.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 3-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.69% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.35% |