Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Oct 23, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
3 - 1
Sparta

Redan (6'), Douvikas (48'), Klaiber (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kitolano (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 6-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 2-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, October 16 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
50.62% ( 0.07)	24.21% ( -0.01)	25.18% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 54.51% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.75% (

-0)

47.25% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.52% (

-0)

69.48% (

0.01)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.31% (

0.03)

18.69% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.96% (

0.04)

50.04% (

-0.04)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

-0.05)

32.96% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.47% (

-0.05)

69.54% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 50.62%

Sparta Rotterdam 25.18%

Draw 24.2%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.62%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.18%