Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.