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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Utrecht
3 - 1
Sparta

Redan (6'), Douvikas (48'), Klaiber (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kitolano (84')
van Crooij (90+2'), Eerdhuijzen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 6-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 2-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, October 16 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam have been in fantastic form recently, but they are coming up against what is very much their bogey side in FC Utrecht, having failed to beat them in their last 15 attempts. As such, we expect this one to be a closely-contested draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawSparta Rotterdam
50.62% (0.067 0.07) 24.21% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.18% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.51% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)47.25% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)18.69% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.96% (0.042000000000002 0.04)50.04% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)32.96% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)69.54% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 50.62%
    Sparta Rotterdam 25.18%
    Draw 24.2%
FC UtrechtDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.84% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 50.62%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 25.18%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Sparta

FC Utrecht
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Sparta Rotterdam
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 3.45pm
Sparta
0-3
Utrecht

Dalmau (28')
Douvikas (12'), Mahi (47'), Van de Streek (75')
Maduro (41'), van der Hoorn (48')
Aug 15, 2021 1.30pm
Utrecht
4-0
Sparta
Maher (1'), Van der Maarel (65'), Douvikas (74'), Gustafson (90+2' pen.)
van der Maarel (51')

Harroui (55'), van Crooy (59'), Vriends (90+1')
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
Sparta
0-0
Utrecht

Beugelsdijk (50'), Auassar (52'), Abels (90+4')

Maher (52'), Boussaid (76')
Jan 24, 2021 1.30pm
Mar 8, 2020 11.15am
Utrecht
5-1
Sparta
Ramselaar (42', 59'), Dalmau (50'), Gustafson (51'), Klaiber (72')
Piroe (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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