Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 6, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
1 - 2
PSV

Lucca (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

de Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Rangers 1-3 Ajax
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-2 PSV
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.56%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.65%) and 3-2 (5.97%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (4.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
59.56% ( -0.28)	17.23% ( 0.06)	23.2% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 78.45% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

84.01% (

-0.03)

15.98% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

67.85% (

-0.05)

32.14% (

0.05)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.11% (

-0.05)

5.88% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.45% (

-0.16)

22.55% (

0.16)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.35% (

0.11)

16.64% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.51% (

0.19)

46.48% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Ajax 59.56%

PSV Eindhoven 23.2%

Draw 17.23%

Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 5-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 5-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 6-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 5.01% Total : 59.56%	2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) 0-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.23%	1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 23.2%