Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
PSV

Bodo/Glimt
1 - 2
PSV

Zugelj (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sampsted (36' og.), Bakayoko (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bodo/Glimt and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosenborg 3-2 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, October 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawPSV Eindhoven
42.82% (0.056000000000004 0.06)25.99% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)31.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 53.05% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (0.222 0.22)51.15% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27% (0.195 0.2)73% (-0.19 -0.19)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (0.126 0.13)23.72% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (0.179 0.18)57.85% (-0.175 -0.18)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.11499999999999 0.11)30.45% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.134 0.13)66.66% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 42.81%
    PSV Eindhoven 31.2%
    Draw 25.98%
Bodo/GlimtDrawPSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 42.81%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.2%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs PSV

Bodo/Glimt
14.1%
Draw
10.2%
PSV Eindhoven
75.6%
205
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 5.45pm
Group A
PSV
1-1
Bodo/Glimt
Gakpo (63')
Gronbaek (44')
Berg (48')