Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.