Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.