Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.