Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aalesund in this match.