Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.