Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FK Haugesund in this match.