Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 51.1%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.