Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion
Molde3 - 0Varda SE
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Molde and Kisvarda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 17 | 20 | 39 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 18 | 31 |
Last Game: Varda SE 1-0 Kairat
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Varda SE |
| 50.86% ( | 22.06% ( | 27.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.24% ( | 35.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.17% ( | 57.83% ( |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.64% ( | 14.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.77% ( | 42.23% ( |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( | 25.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% ( | 60.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
Molde 50.86%
Varda SE 27.08%
Draw 22.06%
| Molde | Draw | Varda SE |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 3-2 @ 4.17% ( 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 4-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.55% Total : 50.86% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-1 @ 5% ( 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.08% |
How you voted: Molde vs Varda SE
Molde
94.4%Draw
5.6%Varda SE
0.0%18
Form Guide


