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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Borås Arena
Molde logo

Elfsborg
1 - 2
Molde

Baidoo (40')
Jarjue (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Breivik (54'), Fofana (83')
Haugan (24')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Elfsborg and Molde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

Last Six:
Last Game: Kalmar 1-0 Elfsborg
Sunday, July 24 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Molde

Last Six:
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-3 Molde
Sunday, July 24 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Molde had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Molde win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
ElfsborgDrawMolde
42.71% (-0.206 -0.21)26.95% (0.004999999999999 0)30.34% (0.198 0.2)
Both teams to score 49.7% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.71% (0.046999999999997 0.05)55.28% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.49% (0.039000000000001 0.04)76.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)25.62% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.49% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)60.51% (0.116 0.12)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (0.172 0.17)33.18% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (0.187 0.19)69.79% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 42.7%
    Molde 30.34%
    Draw 26.95%
ElfsborgDrawMolde
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.7%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.34%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Molde

Elfsborg
46.7%
Draw
13.3%
Molde
40.0%
15
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 5pm
Molde
4-1
Elfsborg
Andre Kaasa (49'), Haugen (55'), Breivik (60'), Mannsverk (81' pen.)
Knudtzon (90+1'), Hansen (90+3')
Alm (14')
Strand (43'), Larsson (50'), Romer (51'), Henriksson (57'), Holmen (75')
Boateng (90+3')