Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 5pm UK
Aker Stadion
Molde4 - 1Elfsborg
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Molde and Elfsborg.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Molde 1-0 Haugesund
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Molde | 15 | 16 | 33 |
2 | Lillestrom | 15 | 15 | 33 |
3 | Viking FK | 16 | 9 | 28 |
Last Game: Hammarby 3-0 Elfsborg
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sirius | 14 | -3 | 21 |
9 | Elfsborg | 14 | 8 | 20 |
10 | Mjallby AIF | 14 | 1 | 20 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
Result | ||
Molde | Draw | Elfsborg |
42.11% ( 0.03) | 22.63% ( -0.06) | 35.27% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 66.43% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.71% ( 0.31) | 34.29% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.81% ( 0.35) | 56.19% ( -0.35) |
Molde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% ( 0.14) | 16.96% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.94% ( 0.25) | 47.06% ( -0.25) |
Elfsborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% ( 0.16) | 20% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.82% ( 0.26) | 52.18% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Molde 42.11%
Elfsborg 35.27%
Draw 22.63%
Molde | Draw | Elfsborg |
2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.27% |
How you voted: Molde vs Elfsborg
Molde
75.0%Draw
18.8%Elfsborg
6.3%16
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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