Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 15

Jul 24, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar
1 - 0
Elfsborg

Berg (48')
Kristjan Olafsson (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Olsson (56'), Aron Gudjohnsen (62'), Romer (63')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Elfsborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.

Result
Kalmar	Draw	Elfsborg
44.95% ( 5.48)	26.12% ( -0.79)	28.93% ( -4.69)

Both teams to score 51.47% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.35% (

1.58)

52.65% (

-1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.7% (

1.34)

74.3% (

-1.34)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

3.52)

23.34% (

-3.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

4.87)

57.31% (

-4.87)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

-2.48)

32.85% (

2.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58% (

-2.85)

69.42% (

2.85)

Score Analysis

Kalmar 44.94%

Elfsborg 28.93%

Draw 26.12%

Kalmar	Draw	Elfsborg
1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.64) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 1.07) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.7) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.85) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.42) Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.94%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( -1.19) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.7) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -1.04) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.54) Other @ 2.54% Total : 28.93%