Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-0 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.