Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Jerv win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.