Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.