Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tromso IL in this match.