Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.