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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
| 35.46% ( | 26.05% ( | 38.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( | 50.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( | 72.37% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( | 27.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( | 62.84% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% | 25.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% | 60.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.46% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.49% |