Europa League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Funblog.png)
Ajax vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F40%2Furs-fischer.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.29%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Ajax
71.84%
▼
(-0.24)
Draw
16.16%
▲
(+0.12)
Union Berlin
12%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
56.91%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.2%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 2.5
31.79%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 3.5
46.68%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
53.32%
▲
(+0.31)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
92.23%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
7.76%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
72.4%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
27.6%
▲
(+0.29)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5
61.7%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
38.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
24.95%
Under 1.5
75.05%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Ajax
71.84%
Draw
16.16%
Union Berlin
12%
Ajax
2-0
@
9.71%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 71.84%
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 71.84%
Draw
1-1
@
7.29%
▲
(+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.16%
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.16%
Union Berlin
1-2
@
3.5%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 12%
0-1 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 12%