Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Pieper (13')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Haberer (18'), Behrens (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 7-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Union Berlin in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Union Berlin
30.35% ( -0.75)	25.08% ( 0.03)	44.57% ( 0.71)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.35% (

-0.47)

47.65% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.15% (

-0.43)

69.85% (

0.43)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

-0.74)

29.27% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77% (

-0.92)

65.23% (

0.91)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

0.12)

21.4% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.61% (

0.19)

54.39% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 30.35%

Union Berlin 44.57%

Draw 25.08%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.35%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.57%