Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Amos Pieper 13' goal
  • goal Janik Haberer 18'
  • goal Kevin Behrens 46'

Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
FC Koln 7 - 1 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Niclas Fullkrug

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Union Berlin 3 - 1 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Sheraldo Becker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Union Berlin in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result

Werder Bremen 30.35% (-0.75)
Draw 25.08% (+0.04)
Union Berlin 44.57% (+0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.59% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.35% (-0.48)
Under 2.5 47.65% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 30.15% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 69.85% (+0.43)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 70.73% (-0.74)
Under 0.5 29.27% (+0.74)
Over 1.5 34.77% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 65.23% (+0.92)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 78.6% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 21.4% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 45.61% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 54.39% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Werder Bremen 30.35%
Draw 25.08%
Union Berlin 44.57%
Werder Bremen
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 30.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.08%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 9.66% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 9.15% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 7.45% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.7% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.83% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.81% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48% (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.57%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 50' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 53' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 67' goal
  • goal Theodor Gebre Selassie 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Christian Gross 33' yellowcard
  • Davie Selke 53' yellowcard
  • goal Sheraldo Becker 12'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 25'
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 28'
  • yellowcard Grischa Promel 44'
  • yellowcard Florian Hubner 50'
  • yellowcard Sheraldo Becker 68'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Weserstadion
  • Davie Selke 16' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vogt 30' yellowcard
  • Omer Toprak 30' yellowcard
  • Marco Friedl 80' yellowcard
  • goal Marius Bulter 52'
  • yellowcard Christopher Trimmel 67'
  • goal Marius Bulter 72'
  • yellowcard Grischa Promel 80'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Andersson 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)
  • Sebastian Andersson 14' goal
  • Christopher Trimmel 54' yellowcard
  • Neven Subotic 80' yellowcard
  • Neven Subotic 89' redcard
  • goal Davy Klaassen 5'
  • yellowcard Niclas Fullkrug 19'
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 55'
  • yellowcard Nuri Sahin 76'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bittencourt 83'
  • redcard Nuri Sahin 91'