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Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Union Berlin logo

Union SG
0 - 1
Union Berlin

FT(HT: 0-1)
Michel (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: RFC Seraing 1-2 Union SG
Sunday, October 30 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Union Berlin

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, October 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union SGDrawUnion Berlin
42.58% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)22.77% (-0.012 -0.01)34.65% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Both teams to score 65.71% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.84% (0.082999999999998 0.08)35.16% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.83% (0.091000000000001 0.09)57.17% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.87% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.65%47.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.085000000000008 0.09)20.7% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (0.134 0.13)53.31% (-0.135 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 42.58%
    Union Berlin 34.65%
    Draw 22.77%
Union SGDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 9.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.85% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.11% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.77%
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.59% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 34.65%

How you voted: Union SG vs Union Berlin

Union SG
24.1%
Draw
18.5%
Union Berlin
57.4%
162
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 5.45pm
Group D
Union Berlin
0-1
Union SG

Trimmel (51')
Lynen (39')