Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 14
Oct 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Mariƫn
Club Brugge

Union SG
2 - 2
Brugge

Burgess (32'), Nieuwkoop (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Skov Olsen (1'), Vanaken (16' pen.)
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Club Brugge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 2-0 Gent
Wednesday, October 19 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 3-0 Sint-Truiden
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Union SGDrawClub Brugge
37.66% (1.224 1.22)26.67% (0.289 0.29)35.68% (-1.51 -1.51)
Both teams to score 51.96% (-0.986 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (-1.232 -1.23)53.04% (1.236 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (-1.06 -1.06)74.63% (1.061 1.06)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (0.127 0.13)27.33% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (0.163 0.16)62.78% (-0.161 -0.16)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-1.481 -1.48)28.5% (1.483 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (-1.9 -1.9)64.27% (1.903 1.9)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 37.65%
    Club Brugge 35.68%
    Draw 26.67%
Union SGDrawClub Brugge
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.513 0.51)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.55% (0.356 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.163 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.65%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.372 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.215 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.68%

How you voted: Union SG vs Brugge

Union SG
0.0%
Draw
37.5%
Club Brugge
62.5%
8
Head to Head
May 11, 2022 7.30pm
Brugge
1-0
Union SG
Moris (65' og.)
Balanta (36'), Mignolet (76'), Buchanan (83')
Buchanan (90+3')

Machida (12'), Thierry Lazare (18'), Nielsen (77')
Machida (59')
May 8, 2022 12.30pm
Union SG
0-2
Brugge

Teuma (5'), Lapoussin (59'), Mitoma (78'), Undav (90+1')
Vanaken (74'), Nusa (90+8')
Mata (40'), Odoi (57'), Nsoki (90+1'), Sobol (90+5')
Jan 27, 2022 7.45pm
Brugge
0-0
Union SG

Mata (45+1')

Thierry Lazare (41'), Van der Heyden (45+1'), Puertas (89'), Lapoussin (90')
Aug 1, 2021 12.30pm
Union SG
0-1
Brugge

Avenatti (37'), Van der Heyden (80')
Sobol (84')
Nsoki (82'), Perez (90')