Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.