La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
0 - 2
Atletico

FT(HT: 0-1)

Llorente (29'), Morata (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, September 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 1-2 Real Madrid
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Atletico Madrid
33.63% ( 0.26)	27.43% ( 0.1)	38.94% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 49.29% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.71% (

-0.33)

56.29% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.68% (

-0.27)

77.32% (

0.27)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59% (

31.41% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21%

67.78% (

-0)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86% (

-0.36)

28.13% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.18% (

-0.46)

63.81% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 33.62%

Atletico Madrid 38.93%

Draw 27.43%

Sevilla	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.62%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.93%