La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 10, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
2 - 3
Sevilla

Joselu (45+4' pen.), Braithwaite (62')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Lamela (1'), Angel Carmona (26', 45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

Last Six:

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Espanyol
Sunday, September 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Rayo Vallecano	4	-1	4
15	Espanyol	4	-3	4
16	Real Valladolid	5	-7	4

Sevilla

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 0-4 Man City
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Real Valladolid	5	-7	4
17	Sevilla	4	-5	1
18	Elche	4	-8	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Sevilla
31.83% ( -0.03)	28.96% ( -0.01)	39.21% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 44.51% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.95% (

0.01)

62.05% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.23% (

0.01)

81.77% (

-0.01)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.33% (

-0.02)

35.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.55% (

-0.02)

72.45% (

0.02)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

0.02)

30.8% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

0.03)

67.07% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 31.82%

Sevilla 39.21%

Draw 28.95%

Espanyol	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 31.82%	1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.95%	0-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.21%