La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 4, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Espanyol

FT(HT: 0-0)

Braithwaite (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:

Last Game: Cadiz 0-4 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Real Betis	4	4	9
4	Athletic Bilbao	3	5	7
5	Villarreal	3	5	7

Espanyol

Last Six:

Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Real Madrid
Sunday, August 28 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Valencia	3	-1	3
15	Espanyol	3	-4	1
16	Elche	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 12.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.37%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Espanyol
66.39% ( 0.05)	21.59% ( -0.03)	12.03% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 39.04% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.5% (

0.06)

55.5% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.32% (

0.05)

76.68% (

-0.05)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.98% (

0.04)

16.02% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.64% (

0.07)

45.36% (

-0.07)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.49% (

53.51% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.03%

86.97%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 66.37%

Espanyol 12.03%

Draw 21.59%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 15.69% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 14.37% 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 66.37%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.81% Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.59%	0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 12.03%