| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Osasuna | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Villarreal | 5 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Atletico Madrid | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Espanyol | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Getafe | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 60.14% ( | 22.91% ( | 16.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.28% ( | 51.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.5% ( | 73.49% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( | 16.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.17% ( | 46.82% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.08% ( | 43.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.94% ( | 80.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 13.17% ( 2-0 @ 11.73% ( 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 60.13% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 2-2 @ 3.97% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.95% |