Conference League
Aug 25, 2022 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Dino Mikanovic 20' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francis Coquelin 22'
  • goal Alfonso Pedraza 37'
  • goal Samuel Chukwueze 56'
  • yellowcard Gerard Moreno 77'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cuenca 89'

Hajduk Split vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 18, 2022 7.45pm
Villarreal 4 - 2 Hajduk Split

Villarreal

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 18, 2022 7.45pm
Villarreal 4 - 2 Hajduk Split

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result

Hajduk Split 25.39% (+0.28)
Draw 24.09% (+0.02)
Villarreal 50.53% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.1% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.43% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 46.57% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 31.16% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 68.85% (-0.16)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5 67.58% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 32.42% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 31.06% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 68.94% (-0.35)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 81.54% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 18.47% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 50.34% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 49.66% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Hajduk Split 25.39%
Draw 24.09%
Villarreal 50.52%
Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 6.74% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.42% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.8% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.41% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.03% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.43% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.42% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.09%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.54% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 5.42% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.05% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.03% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.52%

Head to Head

Conference League
Aug 18, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 4 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
  • Jose Luis Morales 14' goal
  • Marko Livaja 19' goal
  • Alex Baena 32' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Morales 36' goal
  • Gerard Moreno 45'+1' goal
  • Aissa Mandi 82' yellowcard
  • goal Stipe Biuk 2'
  • yellowcard Marko Livaja 13'
  • yellowcard Emir Sahiti 35'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 72'
  • goal Marco Fossati 85'
  • yellowcard Gergo Lovrencsics 90'+4'