UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 25, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
0 - 2
Villarreal

(Villarreal win 6-2 on aggregate)

Mikanovic (20')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pedraza (37'), Chukwueze (56')
Coquelin (22'), Moreno (77'), Cuenca (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hajduk Split and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Hajduk Split
Thursday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, August 21 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal	2	5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	4	6
3	Real Betis	2	4	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Hajduk Split	Draw	Villarreal
25.39% ( 0.27)	24.09% ( 0.02)	50.53% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.43% (

0.17)

46.57% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.16% (

0.16)

68.85% (

-0.16)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.58% (

0.32)

32.42% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.06% (

0.35)

68.94% (

-0.35)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54% (

-0.04)

18.47% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.34% (

-0.07)

49.66% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Hajduk Split 25.39%

Villarreal 50.52%

Draw 24.09%

Hajduk Split	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.39%	1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.52%