UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium

Be'er Sheva
1 - 2
Villarreal

Hatuel (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Luis Morales (28' pen.), Baena (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-0 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Betis 1-0 Villarreal
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Osasuna	5	4	12
5	Villarreal	5	8	10
6	Athletic Bilbao	5	7	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Be'er Sheva	Draw	Villarreal
28.33% ( 0.02)	25.01% ( -0.02)	46.66% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.58% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.59% (

0.1)

48.41% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.46% (

0.09)

70.54% (

-0.1)

Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

0.07)

31.1% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.58% (

0.08)

67.42% (

-0.08)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22% (

0.04)

20.78% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.57% (

0.06)

53.43% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Be'er Sheva 28.33%

Villarreal 46.66%

Draw 25%

Hapoel Be'er Sheva	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.33%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.66%