UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 11, 2022 at 6.15pm UK

Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium

Be'er Sheva
3 - 1
Lugano

(Hapoel Be'er Sheva win 5-1 on aggregate)

Vitor (51'), Hajdari (61' og.), Hatuel (85')
Bareiro (18'), Hatuel (80'), Abd Elhamed (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Doumbia (73' pen.)
Mahmoud (21'), Arigoni (25'), Maccoppi (65'), Hajdari (90+2')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Last Game: Lugano 0-2 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Lugano

Last Six:

Last Game: Lugano 1-2 Luzern
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Luzern	3	1	5
7	Lugano	4	0	3
8	Basel	3	0	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Be'er Sheva	Draw	Lugano
45.11% ( 0.05)	23.62% ( -0.04)	31.26% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.13% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.4% (

0.17)

40.59% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.02% (

0.18)

62.98% (

-0.17)

Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

0.09)

18.29% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.64% (

0.15)

49.36% (

-0.15)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.81% (

0.08)

25.18% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.09% (

0.11)

59.91% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Be'er Sheva 45.11%

Lugano 31.26%

Draw 23.62%

Hapoel Be'er Sheva	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 45.11%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.26%