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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Elche

Villarreal
4 - 0
Elche

Moreno (26'), Lo Celso (36'), Coquelin (89'), Luis Morales (90+4')
Jackson (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Guti (43'), Milla (59'), Roco (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, August 27 at 4.30pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Elche

Villarreal will be bidding to return to winning ways after dropping points against Getafe, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to triumph here. Elche are capable of making it a tough game, but the visitors could fall just short at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawElche
73.07% (0.60199999999999 0.6) 17.34% (-0.263 -0.26) 9.59% (-0.339 -0.34)
Both teams to score 43.36% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.157 0.16)44.73% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.15 0.15)67.1% (-0.151 -0.15)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23% (0.2 0.2)10.77% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.24% (0.444 0.44)34.76% (-0.445 -0.45)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.59% (-0.594 -0.59)51.41% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.38% (-0.401 -0.4)85.62% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 73.06%
    Elche 9.59%
    Draw 17.34%
VillarrealDrawElche
2-0 @ 13.74% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.21% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.69% (0.148 0.15)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.54% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 73.06%
1-1 @ 8.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 17.34%
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 9.59%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Elche

Villarreal
87.1%
Draw
10.8%
Elche
2.2%
93
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 1pm
Elche
1-0
Villarreal
Boye (78')
Gonzalo (10'), Mojica (87'), Gonzalez (90+3'), Milla (90+4')

Parejo (81'), Capoue (90+3'), Iborra (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 9pm
Villarreal
4-1
Elche
Pino (5'), Trigueros (39'), Danjuma (60'), Moreno (90+4')
Pedraza (27')
Mojica (19')
Fidel (40'), Gonzalez (73')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Elche
2-2
Villarreal
Carrillo (49'), Boye (64')
Boye (22')
Moreno (16', 35')
Pedraza (62'), Trigueros (70')
Dec 6, 2020 5.30pm
Villarreal
0-0
Elche

Parejo (64'), Albiol (75'), Coquelin (81')

Milla (23'), Fidel (67'), Almiron (73')
May 10, 2015 4pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid17114237162137
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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