La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 4, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
4 - 0
Elche

Moreno (26'), Lo Celso (36'), Coquelin (89'), Luis Morales (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Villarreal
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Athletic Bilbao	3	5	7
5	Villarreal	3	5	7
6	Atletico Madrid	4	2	7

Elche

Last Six:

Last Game: Elche 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, August 27 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Espanyol	3	-4	1
16	Elche	3	-4	1
17	Sevilla	4	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Elche
73.07% ( 0.6)	17.34% ( -0.26)	9.59% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 43.36% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.27% (

0.16)

44.73% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9% (

0.15)

67.1% (

-0.15)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.23% (

0.2)

10.77% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.24% (

0.44)

34.76% (

-0.45)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.59% (

-0.59)

51.41% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.38% (

-0.4)

85.62% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 73.06%

Elche 9.59%

Draw 17.34%

Villarreal	Draw	Elche
2-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 73.06%	1-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.55% Total : 17.34%	0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.59%