Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 8
Sep 11, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Mariën
Genk

Union SG
1 - 2
Genk

Lapoussin (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paintsil (15'), Samatta (90+2')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Genk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

Last Six:
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 Union SG
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Genk

Last Six:
Last Game: Genk 0-0 Sint-Truiden
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawGenk
29.58% (1.092 1.09)25.7% (0.499 0.5)44.72% (-1.584 -1.58)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-0.91 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (-1.502 -1.5)50.65% (1.507 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (-1.341 -1.34)72.55% (1.347 1.35)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (0.025999999999996 0.03)31.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (0.026999999999994 0.03)67.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (-1.348 -1.35)22.59% (1.355 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (-2.052 -2.05)56.2% (2.057 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 29.58%
    Genk 44.72%
    Draw 25.7%
Union SGDrawGenk
1-0 @ 8.22% (0.492 0.49)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.152 0.15)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.288 0.29)
3-1 @ 2.74% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 10.53% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3.88% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 44.72%

How you voted: Union SG vs Genk

Union SG
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Genk
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 3pm
Union SG
2-1
Genk
Nielsen (27'), Vanzeir (90+10' pen.)
Burgess (76'), Vanzeir (84'), Thierry Lazare (90+9')
Onuachu (77' pen.)
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
Genk
1-1
Union SG
Onuachu (73' pen.)
Lucumi (43')
Undav (90+5')
Burgess (28')
Bager (72')