Belgian Pro League
Gameweek
8
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Loic Lapoussin
74'
-
Joseph Paintsil
15'
-
Mbwana Samatta
90'+2'
Union SG vs Genk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
Result
Union SG
29.58%
▲
(+1.10)
Draw
25.7%
▲
(+0.50)
Genk
44.72%
▼
(-1.59)
Both Teams to Score:
53.15%
▼
(-0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.35%
▼
(-1.51)
Under 2.5
50.65%
▲
(+1.51)
Over 3.5
27.45%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 3.5
72.55%
▲
(+1.35)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5
68.66%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
31.34%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
32.3%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
67.7%
▼
(-0.03)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5
77.41%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 0.5
22.59%
▲
(+1.36)
Over 1.5
43.8%
▼
(-2.06)
Under 1.5
56.2%
▲
(+2.06)
Score analysis
Union SG
29.58%
Draw
25.7%
Genk
44.72%
Union SG
1-0
@
8.22%
▲
(+0.50)
2-1 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.58%
2-1 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.58%
Draw
1-1
@
12.22%
▲
(+0.26)
0-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.7%
0-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.7%
Genk
0-1
@
10.53%
▲
(+0.22)
1-2 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.29)
0-3 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.17)
1-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.18)
0-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 44.72%
1-2 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.29)
0-3 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.17)
1-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.18)
0-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 44.72%
Jonas Bager
72'