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Europa League

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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
0 - 1
Union SG

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lynen (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union Berlin and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

Last Six:
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union SG

Last Six:
Last Game: Zulte 1-3 Union SG
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawUnion SG
43.63% (-0.067 -0.07)25.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.97% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)48.75% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.14% (-0.023 -0.02)70.86% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)22.29% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (-0.064 -0.06)55.75% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (0.033000000000001 0.03)65.39% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 43.63%
    Union SG 30.97%
    Draw 25.39%
Union BerlinDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43.63%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.97%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Union SG

Union Berlin
81.7%
Draw
12.5%
Union SG
5.8%
104