Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.