Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.53%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 7.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.08%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.61%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.