Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 78.18%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 7.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.6%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.