Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 38

May 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Jan Breydelstadion

Brugge
1 - 0
Union SG

Moris (65' og.)
Balanta (36'), Mignolet (76'), Buchanan (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Machida (12'), Thierry Lazare (18'), Nielsen (77')
Machida (59')

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Club Brugge and Union SG.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

Last Six:

Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Club Brugge	39	41	85
2	Union SG	39	52	84
3	Gent	40	30	74

Union SG

Last Six:

Last Game: Union SG 0-1 Antwerp
Sunday, May 22 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Club Brugge	39	41	85
2	Union SG	39	52	84
3	Gent	40	30	74

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Club Brugge	Draw	Union SG
45.42% ( 2.53)	24.26% ( -1.1)	30.33% ( -1.43)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

3.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.02% (

4.3)

43.98% (

-4.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64% (

4.07)

66.36% (

-4.07)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.48% (

2.92)

19.52% (

-2.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.59% (

4.57)

51.41% (

-4.57)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.55% (

1.2)

27.45% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.07% (

1.52)

62.93% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Club Brugge 45.42%

Union SG 30.33%

Draw 24.25%

Club Brugge	Draw	Union SG
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.85) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.57) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.46) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.39) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.42%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.7) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -1.07) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -1.11) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.33%