Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.