Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Leuven	Draw	Union SG
24.62% ( 0.37)	23.98% ( 0.09)	51.39% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 54.67% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.22% (

-0.04)

46.77% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.96% (

-0.04)

69.03% (

0.04)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.84% (

0.3)

33.16% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.23% (

0.33)

69.76% (

-0.33)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79% (

-0.19)

18.2% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.78% (

-0.33)

49.22% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Leuven 24.62%

Union SG 51.39%

Draw 23.98%

Leuven	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.62%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.39%