OH Leuven
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 8
Sep 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven
3 - 2
Charleroi

Maertens (22'), Gonzalez (62', 85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Heymans (13'), Ilaimaharitra (76' pen.)
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

Last Six:
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-2 Leuven
Sunday, September 4 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Charleroi

Last Six:
Last Game: Charleroi 2-1 Gent
Sunday, September 4 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
LeuvenDrawCharleroi
33.57% (-0.964 -0.96)24.73% (-0.204 -0.2)41.7% (1.162 1.16)
Both teams to score 58.15% (0.457 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (0.7 0.7)44.91% (-0.705 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (0.671 0.67)67.27% (-0.676 -0.68)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)25.86% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16% (-0.319 -0.32)60.84% (0.313 0.31)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.86 0.86)21.56% (-0.865 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35% (1.305 1.31)54.65% (-1.31 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Leuven 33.57%
    Charleroi 41.7%
    Draw 24.73%
LeuvenDrawCharleroi
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.57%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6% (0.049 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.182 0.18)
0-3 @ 3.36% (0.155 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.113 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.091 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 41.7%

Head to Head
Dec 27, 2021 5.45pm
Charleroi
0-3
Leuven

Ilaimaharitra (4')
De Norre (17'), Al Tamari (54'), Kaba (74')
Aug 8, 2021 3pm
Leuven
1-1
Charleroi
Henry (61')
De Norre (28')
Zorgane (8')
Knezevic (90')
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Charleroi
1-1
Leuven
Dessoleil (61')
Gillet (46'), Fall (49')
Sowah (12')
Tshimanga (60'), Malinov (64'), Al Tamari (90')
Aug 22, 2020 5.30pm
Leuven
1-3
Charleroi
Mercier (34')
Sowah (59')
Dessoleil (6'), Fall (50'), Rezaei (80')
Gholizadeh (59'), Ilaimaharitra (69'), Busi (82'), Hendrickx (90+2')
Fall (65')
rhs 2.0


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