Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Charleroi	Draw	Gent
28.54% ( -0.23)	26.1% ( -0.12)	45.36% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 51.3% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.24% (

0.34)

52.76% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61% (

0.29)

74.39% (

-0.29)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.79% (

33.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.19%

69.81%

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8% (

0.32)

23.19% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.91% (

0.46)

57.09% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Charleroi 28.54%

Gent 45.35%

Draw 26.09%

Charleroi	Draw	Gent
1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.54%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.35%